WEBRINGS
BELOW
MM
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Mechanics
of History
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WEBRINGS
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What is this page about?
This Web site
presents the history theory developed in 1990-2002. Mechanics of
History is a collection of models and laws that explain the strongest
historical, and economic processes. You will
not find here many facts from history (except some links to
historic sites). This page is devoted to present my work, so if you
search for important information, you better click out.
But:
- If you
are interested in mechanisms that drive the history, and want to see
some explanations, why our history was as it was.
- If you
are interested what would happen if history took another path, and
moreover when these “alternative variants of history”
were possible, and when not.
- If you
are interested in scientific explanation of history.
- If you
want to learn tools that helps to predict events like South-Asia Crisis
(1997) or fall of president Fujimori in Peru (2000).
This
page will probably satisfy you.
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This
material consists of five parts:
Introduction
Some basics
foundations, and some author's remarks about basic powers that drive
history are shortly described here.
Political Systems
Classification of political systems (feudal system, populistic
system, democratic system), and related tools
(like GPI). This page explains why the ancient Athens democracy
was not a democracy, but ancient Rome was, why Rome and Great Britain
built great empires, and where dictatorships and totalitarian systems
come from.
Laws for History
Description of the basic historical schemas, and processes. This page
explains reasons that stands behind the rise, and fall of historical
countries, and reason for upspring, and domination of Europe.
Economics Tools
Description of the basic economics tools used here. This page presents
the classification of economic crises (stagflation
crisis, overproduction crisis), and mechanics
that stands behind them. Explains when economy should be stimulated by
government, and when not. Why sometimes a free trade will not work -
the flaws of Comparative Advantage Theory.
The World History
Rewritten
Short world
history as from the point of view of author. This page
contains more facts from history (and links) than other pages
presented here, and is probably the most readable part of this site.
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Apology:
- I presented here only about 1% of whole theory (or even
less).
- Because of that I have to use many simplifications, and I
am not saying a word about many doubts I still have, and phenomena I do
not understand.
- I have not enough space here to present all consequences of
presented laws, and every connection between them. You have to do it by
your own.
- And the last but not least, sorry for my weak English.
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The basic knowledge you should have to read
this material:
- Basic knowledge of economy (including microeconomics, and
macroeconomics). Material from the first year of college course should
be enough. (The
Digital Economist, Essential
Principles of Economics, Principles
of Economics, History
of Economic Thought)
- Terminology used in the institutional
economics (institutions, transaction costs, etc.).
- Comparative advantage theory used by economists to explain
rationality of free trade. (Basic introduction,
International
Trade Theory)
- Complete knowledge about general world history. (Historia)
- At minimum history of: England, Ancient Rome, USA, Ancient
Greece, France, Italy, Switzerland, Poland or Hungary, Russia, India,
and China (Wikipedia, History
of Countries, Countries of the
World). Each book you need to read should have about 400-500
pages (shortest books will not work) an should include economic, and
institutional background, plus a few words about social conflicts
(should not be only a description of wars, and battles).
- Knowledge of the history of other countries will not hurt.
- It also be good to know the base terminology used by major
scientist that writes about processes that drives the history, for
example: Karl Marx, Max Webber, Immanuel
Wallerstein or Paul Kennedy. (History
of Economic Thought)
- A short contact with political game like Avalon Hill's "Diplomacy",
and with game
theory could help to understand some elements I present here.
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Special thanks to Sławomir Maszewski
April-June 2003
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